FBoS Release No: 43, 2018
27th June, 2018

Seasonal adjustment is a statistical method used to remove the combined seasonal and calendar effects on time series data such as visitor arrivals. It derives seasonally adjusted and trend series data that reveal underlying changes and allows the measurement of short and long term patterns of growth and decline (refer to the explanatory notes for a detailed explanation).


  • Trend estimates: Total Visitor Arrivals during May 2018 (70,858) declined by 0.9%, compared with April 2018 (71,524). This followed monthly decreases of 0.7% and 0.9% in March and April 2018 respectively. The current trend estimate for arrivals is 3.2% higher than in May 2017.
  • Seasonally adjusted estimates: During May 2018, Total Visitor Arrivals to Fiji (70,933) increased 1.7% compared with April 2018 (69,737). This followed a monthly increase of 2.4% in March 2018 and a decrease of 5.1% in April 2018.
  •  Original estimates: The Total Visitor Arrivals to Fiji in May 2018 was 67,290.



For breaks in trend and outliers (see Explanatory notes, subheading 7&8)

For more information, the following can be referred to:

  • Table 1: Original and Seasonally Adjusted Visitor Arrivals- Number by Country of Residence
  • Table 2: Seasonally Adjusted and Trend Series of Visitor Arrivals: Number by Country of Residence
  • Appendix 1: Explanatory Notes


In using the seasonally adjusted series, care should be exercised because of the difficulties associated with reliably estimating the seasonal pattern.

For further enquires please contact Mr. Rupeni Tawake on email or telephone 3315822 (ext. 232) or direct line 3230832